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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
St. Johns, FL · ZIP 32084 · Census Tract 12109020400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$612K
Downside (P10)
$474K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$627K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$813K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $197K | $221K | $262K | $282K | $282K | $284K | $350K | $372K | $437K | $598K | $612K | $611K | $637K | $627K | $629K |
| YoY Change | +12.3% | +18.6% | +7.6% | -0.0% | +1.0% | +23.1% | +6.2% | +17.5% | +36.9% | +2.3% | -0.2% | +4.3% | -1.5% | +0.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $509K | $494K | $474K | $559K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $705K | $789K | $813K | $714K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$509K to $705K
32.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$559K to $714K
24.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Augustine · Saint Augustine · (Tract 204) | $598K | $627K | +4.9% | |
| Matanzas | $621K | $735K | +18.3% | |
| Nocatee | $625K | $710K | +13.7% | |
| St. Augustine | $636K | $709K | +11.4% | |
| Fruit Cove (Tract 020804) | $595K | $637K | +7.1% | |
| Fruit Cove (Tract 020808) | $587K | $596K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Augustine · Saint Augustine · (Tract 204) | $598K | $627K | +4.9% | |
| Matanzas | $621K | $735K | +18.3% | |
| Palm Valley | $557K | $655K | +17.6% | |
| Fruit Cove | $586K | $683K | +16.7% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 020606) | $546K | $637K | +16.6% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021410) | $754K | $878K | +16.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Augustine · Saint Augustine · (Tract 204) | $598K | $627K | $339K | |
| Hastings (Tract 021102) | $338K | $359K | $166K | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 020300) | $295K | $319K | $164K | |
| Hastings (Tract 021101) | $243K | $277K | $144K | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021002) | $232K | $251K | $142K | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021003) | $220K | $228K | $103K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.