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St. Lucie, FL · ZIP 34981 · Census Tract 12111381402 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$285K
Downside (P10)
$248K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$305K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$383K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $107K | $143K | $151K | $162K | $202K | $202K | $232K | $319K | $325K | $289K | $285K | $296K | $300K | $305K | $302K |
| YoY Change | +33.4% | +6.1% | +7.3% | +24.5% | -0.1% | +14.9% | +37.5% | +1.8% | -11.1% | -1.2% | +3.7% | +1.3% | +1.7% | -0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $252K | $245K | $248K | $267K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $345K | $368K | $383K | $342K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$252K to $345K
31.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$267K to $342K
24.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Pierce | $285K | $305K | +6.7% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 381504) | $285K | $290K | +1.9% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382012) | $288K | $298K | +3.5% | |
| Lakewood Park | $278K | $308K | +10.9% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382009) | $275K | $293K | +6.7% | |
| Fort Pierce | $273K | $297K | +8.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Pierce | $285K | $305K | +6.7% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382126) | $459K | $541K | +17.7% | |
| Fort Pierce (Tract 380700) | $321K | $374K | +16.5% | |
| Fort Pierce (Tract 381000) | $216K | $249K | +15.2% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382128) | $409K | $467K | +14.2% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382008) | $325K | $370K | +14.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Pierce | $285K | $305K | $135K | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382010) | $99K | $106K | $73K | |
| West St. Lucie | $178K | $193K | $83K | |
| Fort Pierce (Tract 380300) | $152K | $161K | $84K | |
| Fort Pierce (Tract 380902) | $190K | $211K | $89K | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 381603) | $184K | $195K | $92K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.