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Volusia, FL · ZIP 32174 · Census Tract 12127080806 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$379K
Downside (P10)
$306K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$408K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$564K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $157K | $174K | $201K | $224K | $246K | $265K | $322K | $353K | $362K | $364K | $379K | $383K | $399K | $408K |
| YoY Change | +10.5% | +16.1% | +11.1% | +10.0% | +7.7% | +21.4% | +9.7% | +2.5% | +0.6% | +4.1% | +1.1% | +4.1% | +2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $340K | $325K | $306K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $448K | $506K | $564K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$340K to $448K
28.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$306K to $564K
63.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ormond Beach · 32174 · (Tract 808.6) | $367K | $408K | +11.1% | |
| DeLand | $382K | $416K | +8.9% | |
| North Peninsula | $385K | $412K | +7.1% | |
| DeBary | $372K | $392K | +5.6% | |
| Port Orange | $374K | $395K | +5.5% | |
| South Peninsula | $383K | $402K | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ormond Beach · 32174 · (Tract 808.6) | $367K | $408K | +11.1% | |
| Deltona | $289K | $339K | +17.2% | |
| North Peninsula | $319K | $369K | +15.7% | |
| New Smyrna Beach | $279K | $321K | +15.4% | |
| DeLand | $386K | $445K | +15.3% | |
| South Peninsula | $421K | $484K | +14.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ormond Beach · 32174 · (Tract 808.6) | $367K | $408K | $258K | |
| Daytona Beach | $95K | $102K | $61K | |
| Ormond Beach | $136K | $141K | $59K | |
| Port Orange (Tract 082513) | $113K | $122K | $57K | |
| Port Orange (Tract 082414) | $61K | $68K | $40K | |
| Port Orange (Tract 082415) | $52K | $57K | $29K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.