Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Dawson, GA · ZIP 30534 · Census Tract 13085970205 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$410K
Downside (P10)
$354K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$442K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$587K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $166K | $190K | $257K | $311K | $410K | $410K | $414K | $437K | $442K |
| YoY Change | +14.4% | +35.6% | +20.9% | +31.6% | +0.2% | +0.9% | +5.5% | +1.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $357K | $367K | $354K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $488K | $531K | $587K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$357K to $488K
31.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$354K to $587K
52.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blacks Mill · Dawsonville · (Tract 9702.5) | $413K | $442K | +7.0% | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970103) | $378K | $426K | +12.8% | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970101) | $559K | $603K | +7.8% | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970102) | $367K | $389K | +5.9% | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970206) | $297K | $310K | +4.5% | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970204) | $446K | $466K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blacks Mill · Dawsonville · (Tract 9702.5) | $413K | $442K | +7.0% | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970103) | $378K | $426K | +12.8% | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970101) | $559K | $603K | +7.8% | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970102) | $367K | $389K | +5.9% | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970203) | $568K | $600K | +5.6% | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970206) | $297K | $310K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blacks Mill · Dawsonville · (Tract 9702.5) | $413K | $442K | $232K | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970204) | $446K | $466K | $265K | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970101) | $559K | $603K | $226K | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970103) | $378K | $426K | $206K | |
| Dawsonville (Tract 970102) | $367K | $389K | $175K | |
| Blacks Mill (Tract 970206) | $297K | $310K | $151K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.