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Gwinnett, GA · ZIP 30518 · Census Tract 13135050115 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$528K
Downside (P10)
$460K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$544K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$682K
+29% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +29%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $288K | $292K | $356K | $460K | $519K | $528K | $536K | $551K | $544K |
| YoY Change | +1.2% | +22.0% | +29.2% | +12.8% | +1.7% | +1.6% | +2.7% | -1.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $469K | $473K | $460K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $619K | $644K | $682K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$469K to $619K
27.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$460K to $682K
40.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buford | $522K | $544K | +4.1% | |
| Dacula-Rocky Creek (Tract 050621) | $512K | $573K | +11.9% | |
| Dacula-Rocky Creek (Tract 050618) | $550K | $599K | +8.9% | |
| Suwanee-Duluth | $546K | $583K | +6.8% | |
| Dacula-Rocky Creek (Tract 050634) | $547K | $582K | +6.4% | |
| Dacula-Rocky Creek (Tract 050624) | $513K | $534K | +4.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buford | $522K | $544K | +4.1% | |
| Lawrenceville | $334K | $404K | +20.9% | |
| Suwanee-Duluth (Tract 050233) | $466K | $560K | +20.3% | |
| Lilburn | $283K | $336K | +18.9% | |
| Dacula-Rocky Creek | $410K | $484K | +18.0% | |
| Suwanee-Duluth (Tract 050224) | $496K | $584K | +17.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buford | $522K | $544K | $222K | |
| Peachtree Corners (Tract 050318) | $233K | $265K | $136K | |
| Snellville-Grayson | $230K | $246K | $134K | |
| Lilburn | $177K | $190K | $113K | |
| Peachtree Corners (Tract 050317) | $232K | $258K | $107K | |
| Lawrenceville | $242K | $259K | $101K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.