County 15625, HI · Census Tract 15625001563 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.78M
Downside (P10)
$1.45M
-48% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.01M
-28% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.62M
-6% by 2030
Base case: -28% by 2030, with a forecast range from -48% to -6%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 15625 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.8M | $2.7M | $2.4M | $2.1M | $2.0M |
| YoY Change | -2.4% | -11.5% | -12.1% | -4.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.1M | $1.8M | $1.5M | $1.5M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.1M | $2.9M | $2.6M | $2.6M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$2.32M to $3.09M
27.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.45M to $2.62M
58.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001369 | $2.79M | $1.95M | -30.3% |
| Tract 001783 | $2.71M | $1.91M | -29.5% |
| Tract 001262 | $2.69M | $1.81M | -32.8% |
| Tract 000166 | $2.59M | $1.82M | -29.7% |
| Tract 001000 | $2.48M | $1.77M | -28.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001767 | $4.05M | $3.07M | -24.1% |
| Tract 000823 | $2.07M | $1.55M | -25.1% |
| Tract 000205 | $2.29M | $1.69M | -26.1% |
| Tract 000522 | $1.97M | $1.43M | -27.4% |
| Tract 000302 | $2.44M | $1.77M | -27.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000409 | $2.34M | $1.64M | $951K |
| Tract 000522 | $1.97M | $1.43M | $1.01M |
| Tract 000205 | $2.29M | $1.69M | $1.06M |
| Tract 000302 | $2.44M | $1.77M | $1.07M |
| Tract 001000 | $2.48M | $1.77M | $1.10M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources