What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15001021706 in South Kohala?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $715,236 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15001021706 in South Kohala?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $715,236 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.8%.

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Parcel 15001021706 (South Kohala) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 15001021706, South Kohala Home Price Forecast

Hawaii, HI · ZIP 96743 · Census Tract 15001021706 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$715K

Downside (P10)

$641K

-10% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$814K

+14% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$969K

+35% by 2030

Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$409K	$461K	$587K	$640K	$682K	$715K	$733K	$769K	$814K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$306,636	-$254,136	-$128,436	-$75,536	-$33,636		+$17,775	+$53,968	+$98,845
Growth % vs 2026	-42.9%	-35.5%	-18.0%	-10.6%	-4.7%		+2.5%	+7.5%	+13.8%
Downside (P10)							$647K	$645K	$641K
Upside (P90)							$860K	$918K	$969K

Forecast Confidence

78%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$647K to $860K

29.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$641K to $969K

40.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +13.8% · Spread: 40%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 15001021706, South Kohala on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).