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Honolulu, HI · ZIP 96797 · Census Tract 15003008934 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.00M
Downside (P10)
$876K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.09M
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.76M
+76% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +76%. The model forecasts this with 55% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $662K | $681K | $861K | $893K | $925K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$340K | -$321K | -$141K | -$109K | -$77K | +$24K | +$88K | +$88K | |
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.9% | -32.0% | -14.1% | -10.9% | -7.7% | +2.4% | +8.8% | +8.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $839K | $839K | $876K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$839K to $1.28M
42.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$876K to $1.76M
81.3% of median
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources