What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15003002102 in Urban Honolulu?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $483,374 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15003002102 in Urban Honolulu?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $483,374 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.4%.

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Parcel 15003002102 (Urban Honolulu) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 15003002102, Urban Honolulu Home Price Forecast

Honolulu, HI · ZIP 96816 · Census Tract 15003002102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$483K

Downside (P10)

$397K

-18% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$500K

+3% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$652K

+35% by 2030

Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$421K	$434K	$428K	$563K	$476K	$483K	$484K	$495K	$500K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$62,574	-$49,474	-$55,374	+$79,826	-$7,574		+$593	+$11,321	+$16,401
Growth % vs 2026	-12.9%	-10.2%	-11.5%	+16.5%	-1.6%		+0.1%	+2.3%	+3.4%
Downside (P10)							$397K	$396K	$397K
Upside (P90)							$551K	$571K	$652K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$397K to $551K

31.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$397K to $652K

51.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.4% · Spread: 51%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 15003002102, Urban Honolulu on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).