What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15003002403 in Urban Honolulu?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $459,725 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 19.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15003002403 in Urban Honolulu?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $459,725 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 19.3%.

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Parcel 15003002403 (Urban Honolulu) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 15003002403, Urban Honolulu Home Price Forecast

Honolulu, HI · ZIP 96826 · Census Tract 15003002403 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$460K

Downside (P10)

$401K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$549K

+19% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$717K

+56% by 2030

Base case: +19% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$354K	$359K	$408K	$402K	$434K	$460K	$479K	$510K	$549K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$105,525	-$100,525	-$52,125	-$58,025	-$25,725		+$18,819	+$50,584	+$88,783
Growth % vs 2026	-23.0%	-21.9%	-11.3%	-12.6%	-5.6%		+4.1%	+11.0%	+19.3%
Downside (P10)							$412K	$420K	$401K
Upside (P90)							$569K	$621K	$717K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$412K to $569K

32.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$401K to $717K

57.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +19.3% · Spread: 58%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 15003002403, Urban Honolulu on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).