What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15003004702 in Urban Honolulu · Honolulu · (Tract 47.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $1,099,813 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15003004702 in Urban Honolulu · Honolulu · (Tract 47.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $1,099,813 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.4%.

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Parcel 15003004702 (Urban Honolulu) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 15003004702, Urban Honolulu · Honolulu · (Tract 47.2) Home Price Forecast

Honolulu, HI · ZIP 96817 · Census Tract 15003004702 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$1.10M

Downside (P10)

$971K

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$1.20M

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.64M

+49% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$940K	$969K	$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.2M	$1.2M	$1.2M
Growth $ vs 2026	-$159,813	-$130,513	+$1,788	-$18,913	-$26,413		+$67,673	+$117,333	+$103,019
Growth % vs 2026	-14.5%	-11.9%	+0.2%	-1.7%	-2.4%		+6.2%	+10.7%	+9.4%
Downside (P10)							$940K	$916K	$971K
Upside (P90)							$1.4M	$1.5M	$1.6M

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$940K to $1.4M

35.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$971K to $1.6M

55.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +9.4% · Spread: 55%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 15003004702, Urban Honolulu · Honolulu · (Tract 47.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).