What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15003008948 in Waipio · Waipahu · (Tract 89.48)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $557,028 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15003008948 in Waipio · Waipahu · (Tract 89.48)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $557,028 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.9%.

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Parcel 15003008948 (Waipio) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 15003008948, Waipio · Waipahu · (Tract 89.48) Home Price Forecast

Honolulu, HI · ZIP 96797 · Census Tract 15003008948 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$557K

Downside (P10)

$489K

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$612K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$834K

+50% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$451K	$432K	$453K	$486K	$534K	$557K	$574K	$591K	$612K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$106,428	-$125,028	-$104,028	-$70,728	-$22,628		+$16,572	+$34,045	+$55,220
Growth % vs 2026	-19.1%	-22.4%	-18.7%	-12.7%	-4.1%		+3.0%	+6.1%	+9.9%
Downside (P10)							$502K	$495K	$489K
Upside (P90)							$696K	$786K	$834K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$502K to $696K

33.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$489K to $834K

56.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +9.9% · Spread: 56%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 15003008948, Waipio · Waipahu · (Tract 89.48) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).