What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15009031106 in Kahului?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $836,832 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.0%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 15009031106 in Kahului?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $836,832 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.0%.

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Parcel 15009031106 (Kahului) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 15009031106, Kahului Home Price Forecast

Maui, HI · ZIP 96732 · Census Tract 15009031106 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$837K

Downside (P10)

$676K

-19% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$912K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.28M

+53% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$633K	$636K	$735K	$821K	$823K	$837K	$859K	$897K	$912K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$203,932	-$201,032	-$102,132	-$15,532	-$14,332		+$22,348	+$59,721	+$75,173
Growth % vs 2026	-24.4%	-24.0%	-12.2%	-1.9%	-1.7%		+2.7%	+7.1%	+9.0%
Downside (P10)							$707K	$685K	$676K
Upside (P90)							$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.3M

Forecast Confidence

64%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$707K to $1.1M

40.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$676K to $1.3M

66.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +9.0% · Spread: 66%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 15009031106, Kahului on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).