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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Buena Vista, IA · ZIP 51002 · Census Tract 19021960600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$196K
Downside (P10)
$172K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$204K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$288K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $129K | $133K | $129K | $136K | $143K | $136K | $142K | $173K | $188K | $192K | $196K | $199K | $208K | $204K |
| YoY Change | +2.8% | -2.7% | +5.3% | +4.9% | -4.5% | +4.4% | +21.8% | +8.7% | +1.8% | +2.3% | +1.5% | +4.4% | -1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $173K | $174K | $172K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $255K | $275K | $288K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$173K to $255K
41.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$172K to $288K
56.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nokomis area | $194K | $204K | +5.3% | |
| Washington area | $173K | $193K | +11.2% | |
| Coon area | $151K | $161K | +6.8% | |
| Poland area | $104K | $110K | +5.6% | |
| Barnes area | $112K | $118K | +4.9% | |
| Storm Lake area | $177K | $179K | +1.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nokomis area | $194K | $204K | +5.3% | |
| Washington area | $173K | $193K | +11.2% | |
| Coon area | $151K | $161K | +6.8% | |
| Poland area | $104K | $110K | +5.6% | |
| Barnes area | $112K | $118K | +4.9% | |
| Storm Lake area | $177K | $179K | +1.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nokomis area | $194K | $204K | $116K | |
| Storm Lake area | $177K | $179K | $127K | |
| Washington area | $173K | $193K | $102K | |
| Coon area | $151K | $161K | $77K | |
| Barnes area | $112K | $118K | $69K | |
| Poland area | $104K | $110K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.