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Cerro Gordo, IA · ZIP 50428 · Census Tract 19033950900 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$345K
Downside (P10)
$297K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$372K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$454K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $205K | $211K | $221K | $239K | $230K | $234K | $237K | $292K | $291K | $334K | $345K | $356K | $366K | $372K |
| YoY Change | +2.9% | +4.8% | +7.9% | -3.4% | +1.5% | +1.2% | +23.6% | -0.5% | +15.0% | +3.3% | +3.1% | +2.9% | +1.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $305K | $307K | $297K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $415K | $453K | $454K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$305K to $415K
31.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$297K to $454K
42.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Vernon area | $343K | $372K | +8.5% | |
| Mason City area | $228K | $251K | +9.9% | |
| Clear Lake area | $231K | $254K | +9.8% | |
| Mason area | $170K | $183K | +7.2% | |
| Mason City | $298K | $318K | +6.8% | |
| Grant area | $304K | $307K | +1.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Vernon area | $343K | $372K | +8.5% | |
| Mason area | $111K | $125K | +12.6% | |
| Lime Creek area | $136K | $151K | +11.5% | |
| Mason City | $164K | $182K | +11.2% | |
| Mason City area | $228K | $251K | +9.9% | |
| Clear Lake area | $231K | $254K | +9.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Vernon area | $343K | $372K | $157K | |
| Mason City (Tract 950102) | $124K | $124K | $93K | |
| Lime Creek area | $136K | $151K | $86K | |
| Pleasant Valley area | $153K | $164K | $83K | |
| Mason City (Tract 950300) | $128K | $136K | $72K | |
| Mason area | $111K | $125K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.