County 19535, IA · Census Tract 19535001565 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.92M
Downside (P10)
$933K
-51% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.40M
-27% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.09M
+9% by 2030
Base case: -27% by 2030, with a forecast range from -51% to +9%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 19535 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.9M | $1.9M | $1.6M | $1.4M | $1.4M |
| YoY Change | -3.0% | -13.7% | -12.2% | -0.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.3M | $1.1M | $918K | $933K | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.3M | $2.1M | $2.0M | $2.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.49M to $2.27M
40.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$933K to $2.09M
82.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001109 | $1.91M | $1.32M | -30.6% |
| Tract 001808 | $1.90M | $1.24M | -34.5% |
| Tract 001701 | $1.98M | $1.38M | -30.2% |
| Tract 000964 | $1.85M | $1.41M | -23.8% |
| Tract 001468 | $2.05M | $1.53M | -25.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001484 | $1.36M | $1.13M | -16.8% |
| Tract 000281 | $1.23M | $1.01M | -18.4% |
| Tract 001248 | $1.38M | $1.10M | -20.1% |
| Tract 000948 | $1.32M | $1.05M | -20.5% |
| Tract 000647 | $1.28M | $999K | -22.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000702 | $1.33M | $964K | $855K |
| Tract 001183 | $1.37M | $933K | $869K |
| Tract 000281 | $1.23M | $1.01M | $934K |
| Tract 002124 | $1.74M | $1.32M | $982K |
| Tract 000045 | $1.53M | $1.05M | $1.01M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources