Dallas, IA · ZIP 50003 · Census Tract 19049050902 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$426K
Downside (P10)
$339K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$440K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$587K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +38%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Dallas markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $162K | $171K | $192K | $197K | $221K | $301K | $325K | $367K | $395K | $421K | $426K | $428K | $442K | $440K |
| YoY Change | +5.7% | +12.3% | +2.3% | +12.4% | +36.4% | +7.7% | +12.9% | +7.7% | +6.5% | +1.2% | +0.6% | +3.3% | -0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $370K | $371K | $339K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $476K | $535K | $587K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$370K to $476K
24.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$339K to $587K
56.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Meter area | $416K | $440K | +5.7% | |
| Grant area | $429K | $430K | +0.1% | |
| Walnut | $467K | $513K | +9.8% | |
| Boone | $382K | $392K | +2.5% | |
| Waukee | $370K | $370K | -0.0% | |
| West Des Moines | $360K | $419K | +16.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Meter area | $416K | $440K | +5.7% | |
| West Des Moines | $360K | $419K | +16.2% | |
| Waukee | $270K | $310K | +14.6% | |
| West Des Moines | $284K | $324K | +14.2% | |
| Boone | $547K | $623K | +13.8% | |
| West Des Moines | $352K | $397K | +12.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Meter area | $416K | $440K | $247K | |
| Spring Valley | $135K | $152K | $68K | |
| Spring Valley | $113K | $115K | $71K | |
| West Des Moines | $243K | $273K | $108K | |
| Sugar Grove area | $262K | $294K | $140K | |
| Adel area | $344K | $365K | $153K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.