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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Dallas, IA · ZIP 50266 · Census Tract 19049050815 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$362K
Downside (P10)
$291K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$397K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$562K
+55% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +55%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $270K | $264K | $298K | $322K | $340K | $362K | $374K | $382K | $397K |
| YoY Change | -2.1% | +12.6% | +8.1% | +5.7% | +6.6% | +3.1% | +2.3% | +3.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $292K | $290K | $291K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $464K | $490K | $562K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$292K to $464K
45.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$291K to $562K
68.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Des Moines · 50266 · (Tract 508.15) | $352K | $397K | +12.8% | |
| West Des Moines | $360K | $419K | +16.2% | |
| Adel area | $344K | $365K | +6.0% | |
| Van Meter area | $416K | $440K | +5.7% | |
| Boone | $382K | $392K | +2.5% | |
| Waukee | $370K | $370K | -0.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Des Moines · 50266 · (Tract 508.15) | $352K | $397K | +12.8% | |
| West Des Moines (Tract 050814) | $360K | $419K | +16.2% | |
| Waukee | $270K | $310K | +14.6% | |
| West Des Moines (Tract 050813) | $284K | $324K | +14.2% | |
| Boone | $547K | $623K | +13.8% | |
| West Des Moines (Tract 050816) | $243K | $273K | +12.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Des Moines · 50266 · (Tract 508.15) | $352K | $397K | $271K | |
| Adel area | $344K | $365K | $153K | |
| Sugar Grove area | $262K | $294K | $140K | |
| West Des Moines | $243K | $273K | $108K | |
| Spring Valley (Tract 050400) | $113K | $115K | $71K | |
| Spring Valley (Tract 050300) | $135K | $152K | $68K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.