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Hardin, IA · ZIP 50601 · Census Tract 19083480100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$124K
Downside (P10)
$105K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$140K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$170K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $80K | $87K | $86K | $87K | $96K | $99K | $97K | $108K | $114K | $118K | $124K | $126K | $135K | $140K |
| YoY Change | +8.7% | -1.3% | +1.9% | +10.6% | +2.6% | -1.5% | +10.6% | +5.8% | +3.7% | +5.0% | +2.0% | +6.5% | +3.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $107K | $107K | $105K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $147K | $164K | $170K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$107K to $147K
31.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$105K to $170K
46.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay area | $121K | $140K | +15.3% | |
| Hardin (Tract 480200) | $126K | $137K | +9.5% | |
| Buckeye area | $126K | $132K | +4.7% | |
| Eldora area | $134K | $152K | +13.2% | |
| Hardin (Tract 480300) | $136K | $159K | +16.3% | |
| Providence area | $110K | $117K | +6.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay area | $121K | $140K | +15.3% | |
| Hardin (Tract 480300) | $136K | $159K | +16.3% | |
| Eldora area | $134K | $152K | +13.2% | |
| Hardin (Tract 480200) | $126K | $137K | +9.5% | |
| Providence area | $110K | $117K | +6.2% | |
| Buckeye area | $126K | $132K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay area | $121K | $140K | $65K | |
| Providence area | $110K | $117K | $57K | |
| Hardin (Tract 480200) | $126K | $137K | $61K | |
| Eldora area | $134K | $152K | $61K | |
| Buckeye area | $126K | $132K | $68K | |
| Hardin (Tract 480300) | $136K | $159K | $75K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.