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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Jasper, IA · ZIP 50208 · Census Tract 19099040400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$155K
Downside (P10)
$131K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$174K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$245K
+58% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $105K | $108K | $100K | $108K | $117K | $129K | $131K | $141K | $150K | $151K | $155K | $161K | $168K | $174K |
| YoY Change | +3.3% | -7.5% | +8.1% | +8.3% | +10.4% | +1.2% | +7.6% | +6.5% | +0.8% | +2.6% | +4.0% | +4.1% | +3.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $139K | $132K | $131K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $205K | $226K | $245K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$139K to $205K
40.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$131K to $245K
65.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newton · 50208 · (Tract 404) | $151K | $174K | +15.0% | |
| Des Moines area | $208K | $243K | +16.6% | |
| Newton (Tract 040500) | $131K | $151K | +14.6% | |
| Lynn Grove area | $196K | $217K | +10.3% | |
| Mariposa area | $210K | $224K | +6.6% | |
| Newton (Tract 040300) | $127K | $131K | +2.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newton · 50208 · (Tract 404) | $151K | $174K | +15.0% | |
| Des Moines area | $208K | $243K | +16.6% | |
| Newton | $131K | $151K | +14.6% | |
| Fairview area | $242K | $273K | +12.6% | |
| Lynn Grove area | $196K | $217K | +10.3% | |
| Poweshiek area | $255K | $277K | +8.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newton · 50208 · (Tract 404) | $151K | $174K | $114K | |
| Des Moines area | $208K | $243K | $136K | |
| Fairview area | $242K | $273K | $120K | |
| Lynn Grove area | $196K | $217K | $115K | |
| Newton (Tract 040500) | $131K | $151K | $90K | |
| Newton (Tract 040300) | $127K | $131K | $61K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.