Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Marion, IA · ZIP 50138 · Census Tract 19125030402 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$253K
Downside (P10)
$210K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$272K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$376K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $120K | $119K | $120K | $122K | $124K | $138K | $147K | $189K | $216K | $236K | $253K | $257K | $270K | $272K |
| YoY Change | -0.7% | +0.1% | +1.9% | +2.1% | +11.3% | +5.9% | +29.0% | +14.0% | +9.6% | +7.0% | +1.8% | +5.0% | +0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $221K | $217K | $210K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $289K | $329K | $376K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$221K to $289K
26.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$210K to $376K
61.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knoxville · 50138 · (Tract 304.2) | $240K | $272K | +13.5% | |
| Lake Prairie (Tract 030202) | $254K | $279K | +9.6% | |
| Lake Prairie (Tract 030300) | $227K | $244K | +7.6% | |
| Knoxville | $218K | $231K | +6.0% | |
| Pleasant Grove | $173K | $183K | +5.8% | |
| Dallas area | $202K | $212K | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knoxville · 50138 · (Tract 304.2) | $240K | $272K | +13.5% | |
| Knoxville | $132K | $155K | +16.8% | |
| Liberty area | $145K | $159K | +9.9% | |
| Lake Prairie (Tract 030202) | $254K | $279K | +9.6% | |
| Lake Prairie (Tract 030201) | $347K | $377K | +8.5% | |
| Lake Prairie (Tract 030300) | $227K | $244K | +7.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knoxville · 50138 · (Tract 304.2) | $240K | $272K | $166K | |
| Knoxville (Tract 030401) | $218K | $231K | $139K | |
| Dallas area | $202K | $212K | $110K | |
| Lake Prairie | $227K | $244K | $105K | |
| Liberty area | $145K | $159K | $102K | |
| Knoxville (Tract 030500) | $132K | $155K | $69K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.