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Marion, IA · ZIP 50219 · Census Tract 19125030101 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$338K
Downside (P10)
$290K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$343K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$445K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $246K | $247K | $300K | $335K | $337K | $338K | $339K | $339K | $343K |
| YoY Change | +0.5% | +21.2% | +11.9% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +1.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $300K | $295K | $290K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $412K | $425K | $445K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$300K to $412K
33.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$290K to $445K
45.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Summit area | $338K | $343K | +1.6% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 030402) | $240K | $272K | +13.5% | |
| Lake Prairie (Tract 030202) | $254K | $279K | +9.6% | |
| Lake Prairie (Tract 030201) | $347K | $377K | +8.5% | |
| Lake Prairie (Tract 030300) | $227K | $244K | +7.6% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 030401) | $218K | $231K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Summit area | $338K | $343K | +1.6% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 030500) | $132K | $155K | +16.8% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 030402) | $240K | $272K | +13.5% | |
| Liberty area | $145K | $159K | +9.9% | |
| Lake Prairie (Tract 030202) | $254K | $279K | +9.6% | |
| Lake Prairie (Tract 030201) | $347K | $377K | +8.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Summit area | $338K | $343K | $154K | |
| Knoxville (Tract 030401) | $218K | $231K | $139K | |
| Dallas area | $202K | $212K | $110K | |
| Lake Prairie | $227K | $244K | $105K | |
| Liberty area | $145K | $159K | $102K | |
| Knoxville (Tract 030500) | $132K | $155K | $69K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.