What is the home price forecast for Parcel 19153010707 in Clay?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $242,835 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 19153010707 in Clay?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $242,835 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.8%.

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Parcel 19153010707 (Clay) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 19153010707, Clay Home Price Forecast

Polk, IA · ZIP 50009 · Census Tract 19153010707 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$243K

Downside (P10)

$217K

-10% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$264K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$346K

+43% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$186K	$187K	$211K	$232K	$242K	$243K	$249K	$264K	$264K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$56,835	-$56,035	-$32,035	-$11,235	-$635		+$6,514	+$21,372	+$21,459
Growth % vs 2026	-23.4%	-23.1%	-13.2%	-4.6%	-0.3%		+2.7%	+8.8%	+8.8%
Downside (P10)							$211K	$221K	$217K
Upside (P90)							$297K	$313K	$346K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$211K to $297K

34.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$217K to $346K

48.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.8% · Spread: 49%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 19153010707, Clay on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).