Sioux, IA · ZIP 51247 · Census Tract 19167070300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$272K
Downside (P10)
$235K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$299K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$427K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +57%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Sioux markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $140K | $138K | $139K | $146K | $159K | $181K | $192K | $214K | $240K | $265K | $272K | $279K | $297K | $299K |
| YoY Change | -1.1% | +0.4% | +5.3% | +8.9% | +13.8% | +5.9% | +11.8% | +11.8% | +10.4% | +2.8% | +2.5% | +6.4% | +0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $245K | $246K | $235K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $340K | $385K | $427K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$245K to $340K
33.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$235K to $427K
64.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Center area | $271K | $299K | +10.5% | |
| Sioux Center | $258K | $280K | +8.5% | |
| Holland | $254K | $290K | +14.2% | |
| Orange City | $291K | $316K | +8.6% | |
| Welcome area | $293K | $322K | +9.9% | |
| West Branch | $298K | $308K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Center area | $271K | $299K | +10.5% | |
| Lynn area | $227K | $263K | +15.8% | |
| Holland | $254K | $290K | +14.2% | |
| Welcome area | $293K | $322K | +9.9% | |
| Nassau area | $229K | $250K | +9.2% | |
| Orange City | $291K | $316K | +8.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Center area | $271K | $299K | $192K | |
| Eagle area | $178K | $189K | $97K | |
| Lynn area | $227K | $263K | $131K | |
| Holland | $254K | $290K | $132K | |
| Nassau area | $229K | $250K | $142K | |
| Sioux Center | $258K | $280K | $155K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.