What is the home price forecast for Keokuk area?

Homecastr forecasts Keokuk area median home values at $76,779 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 16.6%.

How confident is the Keokuk area forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $69,387 (downside) to $112,799 (upside), with a spread of 48% of median.

Keokuk area Home Price Forecast

Wapello, IA · ZIP 52501 · Census Tract 19179961000 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$77K

Downside (P10)

$69K

-10% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$90K

+17% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$113K

+47% by 2030

Base case: +17% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +47%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Wapello markets.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$60K	$61K	$61K	$61K	$55K	$60K	$61K	$73K	$71K	$72K	$77K	$78K	$86K	$90K	$74K
YoY Change		+1.7%	-0.7%	-0.2%	-9.8%	+10.6%	+1.0%	+20.0%	-2.7%	+1.1%	+6.6%	+2.2%	+9.0%	+4.7%	-17.3%
Downside (P10)												$66K	$70K	$69K	$66K
Upside (P90)												$94K	$99K	$113K	$85K

Forecast Uncertainty

Narrow rangeWide range

The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.

1-Year Spread

$66K to $94K

35.3% of median

5-Year Spread

$66K to $85K

25.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: mild decline expected5yr expected: -3.5% · Spread: 25%

·Near-term values look stable, but the model expects gradual softening over the longer horizon.
·The model sees some downside pressure from rate sensitivity and local supply dynamics.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Keokuk area	$74K	$90K	+21.5%
Center	$83K	$88K	+6.5%
Ottumwa	$92K	$97K	+5.0%
Center	$102K	$110K	+7.6%
Center	$110K	$123K	+11.7%
Center	$127K	$132K	+3.9%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Keokuk area	$74K	$90K	+21.5%
Green area	$170K	$192K	+12.8%
Washington area	$198K	$221K	+12.0%
Center	$110K	$123K	+11.7%
Highland area	$200K	$219K	+9.3%
Center	$102K	$110K	+7.6%

Lower Risk Alternatives

Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	Spread
Keokuk area	$74K	$90K	$43K
Ottumwa	$92K	$97K	$47K
Center	$83K	$88K	$48K
Center	$102K	$110K	$53K
Center	$110K	$123K	$58K
Center	$127K	$132K	$77K

Location

Keokuk area on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).