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Webster, IA · ZIP 50501 · Census Tract 19187000200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$176K
Downside (P10)
$159K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$187K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$237K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $107K | $122K | $144K | $136K | $143K | $133K | $133K | $148K | $160K | $170K | $176K | $177K | $185K | $187K |
| YoY Change | +13.9% | +18.3% | -5.6% | +5.7% | -7.3% | +0.1% | +11.5% | +8.1% | +6.0% | +3.3% | +0.9% | +4.5% | +0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $155K | $158K | $159K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $212K | $226K | $237K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$155K to $212K
32.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$159K to $237K
41.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper area | $175K | $187K | +7.2% | |
| Fort Dodge | $165K | $191K | +15.5% | |
| Cooper (Tract 000102) | $178K | $200K | +12.4% | |
| Colfax area | $172K | $187K | +8.3% | |
| Roland area | $162K | $171K | +5.5% | |
| Cooper (Tract 000101) | $182K | $191K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper area | $175K | $187K | +7.2% | |
| Douglas | $94K | $109K | +16.0% | |
| Fort Dodge (Tract 000700) | $165K | $191K | +15.5% | |
| Cooper | $178K | $200K | +12.4% | |
| Fort Dodge (Tract 000600) | $84K | $94K | +11.2% | |
| Elkhorn area | $119K | $131K | +10.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper area | $175K | $187K | $78K | |
| Fort Dodge (Tract 000400) | $150K | $159K | $78K | |
| Burnside area | $125K | $132K | $77K | |
| Douglas | $94K | $109K | $69K | |
| Cooper area | $88K | $93K | $54K | |
| Fort Dodge (Tract 000600) | $84K | $94K | $48K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.