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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Ada, ID · ZIP 83714 · Census Tract 16001000305 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$457K
Downside (P10)
$385K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$490K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$668K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $223K | $261K | $374K | $439K | $452K | $457K | $465K | $483K | $490K |
| YoY Change | +16.9% | +43.5% | +17.4% | +2.8% | +1.1% | +1.9% | +3.9% | +1.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $401K | $402K | $385K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $549K | $584K | $668K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$401K to $549K
31.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$385K to $668K
57.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise City · Garden City · (Tract 3.5) | $453K | $490K | +8.2% | |
| Boise City (Tract 001003) | $458K | $515K | +12.5% | |
| Boise City (Tract 000806) | $451K | $487K | +8.1% | |
| Boise City (Tract 002225) | $450K | $484K | +7.7% | |
| Boise City (Tract 000303) | $455K | $468K | +3.0% | |
| Boise City (Tract 010237) | $459K | $472K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise City · Garden City · (Tract 3.5) | $453K | $490K | +8.2% | |
| Boise City (Tract 010355) | $1.01M | $1.20M | +18.5% | |
| Eagle (Tract 010233) | $969K | $1.15M | +18.3% | |
| Boise City (Tract 000602) | $804K | $935K | +16.3% | |
| Boise City (Tract 001201) | $442K | $513K | +16.1% | |
| Eagle (Tract 010228) | $604K | $698K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise City · Garden City · (Tract 3.5) | $453K | $490K | $282K | |
| Boise City (Tract 001204) | $339K | $375K | $194K | |
| Boise City (Tract 001003) | $458K | $515K | $194K | |
| Boise City (Tract 002318) | $370K | $394K | $176K | |
| Meridian | $382K | $393K | $169K | |
| Boise City (Tract 001100) | $231K | $247K | $146K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.