What is the home price forecast for Parcel 16005001104 in Pocatello · 83201 · (Tract 11.4)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $580,733 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 16005001104 in Pocatello · 83201 · (Tract 11.4)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $580,733 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.3%.

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Parcel 16005001104 (Pocatello) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 16005001104, Pocatello · 83201 · (Tract 11.4) Home Price Forecast

Bannock, ID · ZIP 83201 · Census Tract 16005001104 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$581K

Downside (P10)

$495K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$634K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$760K

+31% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$301K	$304K	$394K	$466K	$560K	$581K	$596K	$607K	$634K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$279,833	-$277,033	-$187,033	-$114,933	-$20,733		+$15,406	+$26,761	+$53,745
Growth % vs 2026	-48.2%	-47.7%	-32.2%	-19.8%	-3.6%		+2.7%	+4.6%	+9.3%
Downside (P10)							$500K	$508K	$495K
Upside (P90)							$694K	$760K	$760K

Forecast Confidence

77%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$500K to $694K

32.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$495K to $760K

41.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +9.3% · Spread: 42%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 16005001104, Pocatello · 83201 · (Tract 11.4) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).