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Bonneville, ID · ZIP 83401 · Census Tract 16019970404 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$261K
Downside (P10)
$243K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$279K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$365K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $145K | $148K | $227K | $252K | $253K | $261K | $262K | $274K | $279K |
| YoY Change | +1.5% | +53.6% | +11.2% | +0.4% | +3.3% | +0.1% | +4.7% | +1.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $240K | $244K | $243K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $321K | $349K | $365K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$240K to $321K
31.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$243K to $365K
43.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Falls · 83401 · (Tract 9704.4) | $258K | $279K | +8.0% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970602) | $262K | $301K | +15.0% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 971200) | $226K | $250K | +10.6% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 971100) | $294K | $319K | +8.5% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970800) | $297K | $321K | +8.1% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970601) | $297K | $314K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Falls · 83401 · (Tract 9704.4) | $258K | $279K | +8.0% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970405) | $402K | $471K | +17.4% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970602) | $262K | $301K | +15.0% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970401) | $471K | $530K | +12.6% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970505) | $359K | $402K | +11.9% | |
| Ucon | $408K | $455K | +11.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Falls · 83401 · (Tract 9704.4) | $258K | $279K | $122K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970602) | $262K | $301K | $191K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 971200) | $226K | $250K | $161K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970601) | $297K | $314K | $161K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 971100) | $294K | $319K | $161K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970700) | $221K | $241K | $158K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.