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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Bonneville, ID · ZIP 83404 · Census Tract 16019970900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$380K
Downside (P10)
$298K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$399K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$543K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $155K | $159K | $163K | $164K | $174K | $196K | $231K | $305K | $326K | $367K | $380K | $396K | $395K | $399K |
| YoY Change | +2.4% | +2.1% | +1.1% | +6.0% | +12.2% | +18.3% | +31.8% | +6.9% | +12.7% | +3.4% | +4.2% | -0.1% | +0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $303K | $318K | $298K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $468K | $527K | $543K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$303K to $468K
41.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$298K to $543K
61.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Falls | $377K | $399K | +5.7% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970405) | $402K | $471K | +17.4% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970505) | $359K | $402K | +11.9% | |
| Ucon | $408K | $455K | +11.6% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970603) | $404K | $449K | +11.0% | |
| Idaho Falls West | $393K | $421K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Falls | $377K | $399K | +5.7% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970405) | $402K | $471K | +17.4% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970602) | $262K | $301K | +15.0% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970401) | $471K | $530K | +12.6% | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970505) | $359K | $402K | +11.9% | |
| Ucon | $408K | $455K | +11.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Falls | $377K | $399K | $245K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 971200) | $226K | $250K | $161K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970601) | $297K | $314K | $161K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 971100) | $294K | $319K | $161K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970700) | $221K | $241K | $158K | |
| Idaho Falls (Tract 970404) | $258K | $279K | $122K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.