County 16060, ID · Census Tract 16060870002 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$4.40M
Downside (P10)
$1.24M
-72% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.28M
-48% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.96M
-33% by 2030
Base case: -48% by 2030, with a forecast range from -72% to -33%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 16060 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $4.4M | $3.9M | $3.1M | $2.5M | $2.3M |
| YoY Change | -11.5% | -19.6% | -19.0% | -9.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.5M | $1.8M | $1.4M | $1.2M | |
| Upside (P90) | $4.6M | $3.9M | $3.2M | $3.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$3.11M to $4.83M
39.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.24M to $2.96M
75.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 850006 | $5.33M | $3.17M | -40.4% |
| Tract 670008 | $3.08M | $2.01M | -34.8% |
| Tract 660005 | $2.91M | $1.96M | -32.6% |
| Tract 480007 | $2.73M | $2.05M | -25.0% |
| Tract 663002 | $2.60M | $1.76M | -32.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 684007 | $1.69M | $1.30M | -22.7% |
| Tract 480007 | $2.73M | $2.05M | -25.0% |
| Tract 000005 | $2.40M | $1.78M | -26.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 686005 | $2.18M | $1.60M | $849K |
| Tract 678000 | $1.83M | $1.33M | $936K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources