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Kootenai, ID · ZIP 83814 · Census Tract 16055002000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$747K
Downside (P10)
$633K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$776K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.10M
+47% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $371K | $402K | $435K | $416K | $459K | $532K | $595K | $662K | $694K | $738K | $747K | $757K | $775K | $776K | $758K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$375,308 | -$344,608 | -$311,908 | -$330,608 | -$287,808 | -$214,808 | -$152,008 | -$84,608 | -$52,508 | -$8,208 | +$10,386 | +$28,641 | +$29,564 | +$11,800 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -50.3% | -46.2% | -41.8% | -44.3% | -38.6% | -28.8% | -20.4% | -11.3% | -7.0% | -1.1% | +1.4% | +3.8% | +4.0% | +1.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $671K | $647K | $633K | $673K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $955K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $845K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$671K to $955K
37.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$673K to $845K
22.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coeur d'Alene | $747K | $776K | +3.9% | |
| Coeur d'Alene (Tract 001700) | $699K | $765K | +9.5% | |
| Coeur d'Alene (Tract 001400) | $701K | $740K | +5.6% | |
| Spirit Lake-Athol (Tract 000203) | $704K | $740K | +5.2% | |
| Spirit Lake-Athol (Tract 000202) | $680K | $705K | +3.7% | |
| Coeur d'Alene (Tract 001802) | $672K | $680K | +1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coeur d'Alene | $747K | $776K | +3.9% | |
| Coeur d'Alene (Tract 001801) | $948K | $1.11M | +17.6% | |
| Coeur d'Alene (Tract 001003) | $579K | $668K | +15.2% | |
| Coeur d'Alene (Tract 001300) | $386K | $443K | +14.7% | |
| Post Falls-Rathdrum | $483K | $552K | +14.2% | |
| Harrison | $613K | $699K | +14.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coeur d'Alene | $747K | $776K | $466K | |
| Coeur d'Alene (Tract 000703) | $466K | $476K | $227K | |
| Post Falls | $441K | $461K | $226K | |
| Coeur d'Alene (Tract 000701) | $458K | $488K | $222K | |
| Post Falls-Rathdrum | $478K | $510K | $220K | |
| Coeur d'Alene (Tract 000901) | $174K | $187K | $104K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Kootenai, ID · ZIP 83814 · Census Tract 16055002000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$747K
Downside (P10)
$633K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$776K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.10M
+47% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $371K | $402K | $435K | $416K | $459K | $532K | $595K | $662K | $694K | $738K | $747K | $757K | $775K | $776K | $758K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$375,308 | -$344,608 | -$311,908 | -$330,608 | -$287,808 | -$214,808 | -$152,008 | -$84,608 | -$52,508 | -$8,208 | +$10,386 | +$28,641 | +$29,564 | +$11,800 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -50.3% | -46.2% | -41.8% | -44.3% | -38.6% | -28.8% | -20.4% | -11.3% | -7.0% | -1.1% | +1.4% | +3.8% | +4.0% | +1.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $671K | $647K | $633K | $673K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $955K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $845K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$671K to $955K
37.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$673K to $845K
22.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coeur d'Alene | $747K | $776K | +3.9% | |
| Coeur d'Alene (Tract 001700) | $699K | $765K | +9.5% | |
| Coeur d'Alene (Tract 001400) | $701K | $740K | +5.6% | |
| Spirit Lake-Athol (Tract 000203) | $704K | $740K | +5.2% | |
| Spirit Lake-Athol (Tract 000202) | $680K | $705K | +3.7% | |
| Coeur d'Alene (Tract 001802) | $672K | $680K | +1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coeur d'Alene | $747K | $776K | +3.9% | |
| Coeur d'Alene (Tract 001801) | $948K | $1.11M | +17.6% | |
| Coeur d'Alene (Tract 001003) | $579K | $668K | +15.2% | |
| Coeur d'Alene (Tract 001300) | $386K | $443K | +14.7% | |
| Post Falls-Rathdrum | $483K | $552K | +14.2% | |
| Harrison | $613K | $699K | +14.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coeur d'Alene | $747K | $776K | $466K | |
| Coeur d'Alene (Tract 000703) | $466K | $476K | $227K | |
| Post Falls | $441K | $461K | $226K | |
| Coeur d'Alene (Tract 000701) | $458K | $488K | $222K | |
| Post Falls-Rathdrum | $478K | $510K | $220K | |
| Coeur d'Alene (Tract 000901) | $174K | $187K | $104K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
