Chicago, IL · ZIP 60634 · Census Tract 17031150600 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$452K
Downside (P10)
$412K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$480K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$645K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +43%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Chicago markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $245K | $253K | $263K | $280K | $293K | $327K | $334K | $368K | $400K | $442K | $452K | $462K | $484K | $480K |
| YoY Change | +3.3% | +3.8% | +6.5% | +4.7% | +11.5% | +2.3% | +10.1% | +8.8% | +10.5% | +2.3% | +2.2% | +4.8% | -0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $408K | $406K | $412K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $580K | $606K | $645K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$408K to $580K
37.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$412K to $645K
48.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portage Park · 60634 · (Tract 1506) | $453K | $480K | +6.1% | |
| Logan Square | $453K | $520K | +14.9% | |
| Uptown Chicago | $453K | $541K | +19.4% | |
| West Loop | $452K | $489K | +8.3% | |
| Old Irving Park | $451K | $489K | +8.3% | |
| Arlington Heights | $454K | $479K | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portage Park · 60634 · (Tract 1506) | $453K | $480K | +6.1% | |
| South Loop | $389K | $482K | +23.7% | |
| Portage Park | $271K | $329K | +21.6% | |
| Belmont Cragin | $335K | $406K | +21.3% | |
| Chicago Lawn | $179K | $217K | +21.3% | |
| Palatine | $153K | $185K | +20.8% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.