What is the home price forecast for South Elgin?

Homecastr forecasts South Elgin median home values at $399,562 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.6%.

How confident is the South Elgin forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $345,153 (downside) to $542,580 (upside), with a spread of 44% of median.

South Elgin Home Price Forecast

Kane, IL · ZIP 60177 · Census Tract 17089852104 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$400K

Downside (P10)

$345K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$454K

+14% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$543K

+36% by 2030

Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +36%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Kane markets.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$277K	$297K	$346K	$365K	$372K	$400K	$411K	$435K	$454K
YoY Change		+7.3%	+16.4%	+5.5%	+2.2%	+7.3%	+2.9%	+5.7%	+4.4%
Downside (P10)							$354K	$356K	$345K
Upside (P90)							$478K	$498K	$543K

Forecast Uncertainty

Narrow rangeWide range

The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.

1-Year Spread

$354K to $478K

30.1% of median

5-Year Spread

$345K to $543K

43.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +13.6% · Spread: 44%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
South Elgin	$386K	$454K	+17.4%
Burlington	$399K	$444K	+11.1%
Sugar Grove	$401K	$420K	+4.9%
Blackberry	$401K	$410K	+2.4%
Batavia	$393K	$394K	+0.3%
Rutland	$408K	$434K	+6.3%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
South Elgin	$386K	$454K	+17.4%
Blackberry	$487K	$601K	+23.5%
Elgin	$198K	$236K	+19.4%
Elgin	$306K	$365K	+19.3%
Hampshire	$356K	$419K	+17.9%
Aurora	$208K	$241K	+15.6%

Lower Risk Alternatives

Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	Spread
South Elgin	$386K	$454K	$197K
Aurora	$220K	$240K	$92K
Aurora	$175K	$191K	$98K
Aurora	$166K	$184K	$107K
Aurora	$193K	$208K	$110K
Elgin	$198K	$236K	$110K

Location

South Elgin on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).