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McHenry, IL · ZIP 60014 · Census Tract 17111871201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$287K
Downside (P10)
$252K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$315K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$394K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $184K | $188K | $192K | $200K | $209K | $229K | $237K | $254K | $267K | $287K | $287K | $293K | $305K | $315K |
| YoY Change | +2.2% | +2.2% | +4.1% | +4.6% | +9.4% | +3.8% | +6.8% | +5.4% | +7.3% | +0.1% | +2.2% | +4.1% | +3.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $260K | $260K | $252K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $345K | $375K | $394K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$260K to $345K
29.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$252K to $394K
45.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Lake · 60014 · (Tract 8712.1) | $284K | $315K | +10.8% | |
| Algonquin | $276K | $293K | +6.2% | |
| Nunda | $276K | $291K | +5.5% | |
| Greenwood (Tract 870403) | $277K | $288K | +4.0% | |
| Greenwood (Tract 870404) | $277K | $285K | +3.0% | |
| McHenry | $278K | $283K | +1.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Lake · 60014 · (Tract 8712.1) | $284K | $315K | +10.8% | |
| Algonquin | $306K | $367K | +20.0% | |
| Nunda | $253K | $299K | +18.4% | |
| Grafton (Tract 871113) | $386K | $447K | +15.7% | |
| Coral | $350K | $403K | +15.2% | |
| Grafton (Tract 871111) | $393K | $447K | +13.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Lake · 60014 · (Tract 8712.1) | $284K | $315K | $142K | |
| Marengo | $247K | $273K | $125K | |
| Chemung (Tract 870302) | $174K | $186K | $122K | |
| McHenry | $186K | $193K | $102K | |
| Chemung (Tract 870301) | $199K | $211K | $98K | |
| Algonquin | $172K | $185K | $80K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.