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St. Clair, IL · ZIP 62204 · Census Tract 17163502200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$40K
Downside (P10)
$30K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$41K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$61K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $46K | $53K | $48K | $39K | $40K | $28K | $29K | $33K | $43K | $39K | $40K | $40K | $41K | $41K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$6,520 | +$12,820 | +$7,720 | -$1,080 | -$180 | -$11,580 | -$11,080 | -$6,680 | +$3,320 | -$1,380 | +$374 | +$1,086 | +$976 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +16.4% | +32.1% | +19.4% | -2.7% | -0.5% | -29.0% | -27.8% | -16.7% | +8.3% | -3.5% | +0.9% | +2.7% | +2.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $31K | $31K | $30K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $53K | $58K | $61K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$31K to $53K
53.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$30K to $61K
75.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Centreville | $57K | $66K | +16.8% | |
| O'Fallon | $198K | $231K | +16.6% | |
| Millstadt | $257K | $298K | +16.2% | |
| Belleville | $159K | $184K | +15.8% | |
| East St. Louis | $57K | $66K | +15.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Centreville | $57K | $66K | $30K | |
| East St. Louis | $57K | $66K | $29K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
St. Clair, IL · ZIP 62204 · Census Tract 17163502200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$40K
Downside (P10)
$30K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$41K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$61K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $46K | $53K | $48K | $39K | $40K | $28K | $29K | $33K | $43K | $39K | $40K | $40K | $41K | $41K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$6,520 | +$12,820 | +$7,720 | -$1,080 | -$180 | -$11,580 | -$11,080 | -$6,680 | +$3,320 | -$1,380 | +$374 | +$1,086 | +$976 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +16.4% | +32.1% | +19.4% | -2.7% | -0.5% | -29.0% | -27.8% | -16.7% | +8.3% | -3.5% | +0.9% | +2.7% | +2.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $31K | $31K | $30K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $53K | $58K | $61K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$31K to $53K
53.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$30K to $61K
75.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Centreville | $57K | $66K | +16.8% | |
| O'Fallon | $198K | $231K | +16.6% | |
| Millstadt | $257K | $298K | +16.2% | |
| Belleville | $159K | $184K | +15.8% | |
| East St. Louis | $57K | $66K | +15.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Centreville | $57K | $66K | $30K | |
| East St. Louis | $57K | $66K | $29K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
