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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Winnebago, IL · ZIP 61109 · Census Tract 17201003707 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$177K
Downside (P10)
$149K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$196K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$277K
+56% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $143K | $142K | $142K | $135K | $141K | $133K | $146K | $163K | $177K | $172K | $177K | $180K | $187K | $196K | $179K |
| YoY Change | -0.3% | +0.1% | -4.8% | +4.4% | -6.1% | +9.8% | +11.5% | +8.8% | -2.7% | +2.9% | +1.8% | +3.6% | +4.8% | -8.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $157K | $155K | $149K | $158K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $230K | $243K | $277K | $199K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$157K to $230K
40.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$158K to $199K
22.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherry Valley | $174K | $196K | +12.7% | |
| Cherry Valley (Tract 003706) | $182K | $213K | +17.1% | |
| Cherry Valley (Tract 003710) | $181K | $201K | +11.0% | |
| Rockford (Tract 003711) | $170K | $188K | +10.5% | |
| South Beloit | $171K | $181K | +5.6% | |
| Rockford (Tract 000402) | $180K | $184K | +2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherry Valley | $174K | $196K | +12.7% | |
| Rockford (Tract 001800) | $99K | $117K | +17.3% | |
| Cherry Valley | $182K | $213K | +17.1% | |
| Rockford (Tract 000403) | $194K | $225K | +16.2% | |
| Harlem | $218K | $249K | +14.5% | |
| Rockford (Tract 001400) | $83K | $94K | +14.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherry Valley | $174K | $196K | $128K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002800) | $68K | $78K | $36K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002000) | $53K | $55K | $35K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002100) | $59K | $63K | $35K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002500) | $53K | $59K | $33K | |
| Rockford (Tract 002600) | $60K | $68K | $27K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.