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Indianapolis, IN · ZIP 46228 · Census Tract 18097321001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$200K
Downside (P10)
$172K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$207K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$261K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $94K | $96K | $96K | $104K | $110K | $118K | $129K | $156K | $171K | $196K | $200K | $200K | $204K | $207K |
| YoY Change | +2.2% | -0.6% | +8.2% | +5.7% | +7.3% | +9.6% | +20.7% | +10.2% | +14.1% | +2.2% | +0.3% | +2.0% | +1.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $175K | $172K | $172K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $233K | $252K | $261K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$175K to $233K
29.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$172K to $261K
43.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis city (balance) · Indianapolis · (Tract 3210.1) | $197K | $207K | +5.0% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 354800) | $201K | $214K | +6.7% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 361200) | $198K | $209K | +5.7% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 341902) | $196K | $203K | +3.7% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 390802) | $203K | $208K | +2.4% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 380501) | $200K | $197K | -1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis city (balance) · Indianapolis · (Tract 3210.1) | $197K | $207K | +5.0% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 310113) | $592K | $720K | +21.7% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 320500) | $345K | $416K | +20.3% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 341904) | $219K | $261K | +19.1% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 321300) | $340K | $404K | +18.9% | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 354202) | $359K | $427K | +18.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis city (balance) · Indianapolis · (Tract 3210.1) | $197K | $207K | $89K | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 357400) | $94K | $99K | $48K | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 355600) | $92K | $93K | $46K | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 358100) | $88K | $92K | $43K | |
| Indianapolis city (balance) (Tract 356400) | $88K | $94K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.