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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 20385, KS · Census Tract 20385000381 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.56M
Downside (P10)
$633K
-59% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.15M
-26% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.72M
+10% by 2030
Base case: -26% by 2030, with a forecast range from -59% to +10%. The model forecasts this with 48% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.6M | $1.5M | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | -1.5% | -13.0% | -11.9% | -2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.1M | $796K | $645K | $633K | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.0M | $1.9M | $1.7M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$1.06M to $2.00M
61.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$633K to $1.72M
94.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000381 | $1.56M | $1.15M | -26.3% | |
| Tract 000200 | $1.51M | $1.10M | -27.4% | |
| Tract 001500 | $1.67M | $1.19M | -28.6% | |
| Tract 001982 | $1.65M | $1.18M | -28.9% | |
| Tract 001348 | $1.64M | $1.14M | -30.2% | |
| Tract 000682 | $1.61M | $1.10M | -31.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000381 | $1.56M | $1.15M | -26.3% | |
| Tract 000967 | $1.07M | $912K | -14.4% | |
| Tract 000802 | $994K | $837K | -15.8% | |
| Tract 000488 | $989K | $820K | -17.1% | |
| Tract 000624 | $1.17M | $953K | -18.2% | |
| Tract 001102 | $1.01M | $820K | -19.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000381 | $1.56M | $1.15M | $1.09M | |
| Tract 000488 | $989K | $820K | $902K | |
| Tract 000446 | $1.12M | $846K | $864K | |
| Tract 000420 | $1.76M | $1.26M | $854K | |
| Tract 001102 | $1.01M | $820K | $821K | |
| Tract 001429 | $1.04M | $826K | $775K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources