County 20385, KS · Census Tract 20385000381 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.56M
Downside (P10)
$633K
-59% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.15M
-26% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.72M
+10% by 2030
Base case: -26% by 2030, with a forecast range from -59% to +10%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 20385 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.6M | $1.5M | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | -1.5% | -13.0% | -11.9% | -2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.1M | $796K | $645K | $633K | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.0M | $1.9M | $1.7M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.13M to $1.95M
52.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$633K to $1.72M
94.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000200 | $1.51M | $1.10M | -27.4% |
| Tract 000682 | $1.61M | $1.10M | -31.6% |
| Tract 001348 | $1.64M | $1.14M | -30.2% |
| Tract 001982 | $1.65M | $1.18M | -28.9% |
| Tract 001500 | $1.67M | $1.19M | -28.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000967 | $1.07M | $912K | -14.4% |
| Tract 000802 | $994K | $837K | -15.8% |
| Tract 000488 | $989K | $820K | -17.1% |
| Tract 000624 | $1.17M | $953K | -18.2% |
| Tract 001102 | $1.01M | $820K | -19.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001429 | $1.04M | $826K | $775K |
| Tract 001102 | $1.01M | $820K | $821K |
| Tract 000420 | $1.76M | $1.26M | $854K |
| Tract 000446 | $1.12M | $846K | $864K |
| Tract 000488 | $989K | $820K | $902K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources