What is the home price forecast for Parcel 20045000201 in Lawrence · 66046 · (Tract 2.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $216,511 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 20045000201 in Lawrence · 66046 · (Tract 2.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $216,511 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.1%.

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Parcel 20045000201 (Lawrence) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 20045000201, Lawrence · 66046 · (Tract 2.1) Home Price Forecast

Douglas, KS · ZIP 66046 · Census Tract 20045000201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$217K

Downside (P10)

$193K

-11% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$245K

+13% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$323K

+49% by 2030

Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$109K	$167K	$201K	$204K	$210K	$217K	$228K	$234K	$245K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$107,611	-$49,111	-$15,811	-$12,311	-$6,411		+$11,693	+$17,202	+$28,390
Growth % vs 2026	-49.7%	-22.7%	-7.3%	-5.7%	-3.0%		+5.4%	+7.9%	+13.1%
Downside (P10)							$193K	$198K	$193K
Upside (P90)							$271K	$287K	$323K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$193K to $271K

34.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$193K to $323K

53.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +13.1% · Spread: 53%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 20045000201, Lawrence · 66046 · (Tract 2.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).