What is the home price forecast for Parcel 20045000904 in Lawrence?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $286,866 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 20045000904 in Lawrence?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $286,866 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.9%.

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Parcel 20045000904 (Lawrence) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 20045000904, Lawrence Home Price Forecast

Douglas, KS · ZIP 66046 · Census Tract 20045000904 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$287K

Downside (P10)

$246K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$298K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$406K

+42% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$196K	$212K	$238K	$262K	$273K	$287K	$289K	$301K	$298K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$91,066	-$75,166	-$49,366	-$25,366	-$13,966		+$1,776	+$13,892	+$11,150
Growth % vs 2026	-31.7%	-26.2%	-17.2%	-8.8%	-4.9%		+0.6%	+4.8%	+3.9%
Downside (P10)							$254K	$248K	$246K
Upside (P90)							$345K	$371K	$406K

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$254K to $345K

31.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$246K to $406K

53.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.9% · Spread: 54%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 20045000904, Lawrence on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).