What is the home price forecast for Parcel 20161000202 in Manhattan area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $144,487 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 20161000202 in Manhattan area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $144,487 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.2%.

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Parcel 20161000202 (Manhattan area) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 20161000202, Manhattan area Home Price Forecast

Riley, KS · ZIP 66502 · Census Tract 20161000202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$144K

Downside (P10)

$122K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$159K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$212K

+46% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$135K	$141K	$156K	$150K	$145K	$144K	$147K	$153K	$159K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$9,287	-$3,187	+$11,413	+$5,713	+$613		+$2,075	+$8,708	+$14,789
Growth % vs 2026	-6.4%	-2.2%	+7.9%	+4.0%	+0.4%		+1.4%	+6.0%	+10.2%
Downside (P10)							$125K	$121K	$122K
Upside (P90)							$182K	$200K	$212K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$125K to $182K

39.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$122K to $212K

56.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.2% · Spread: 56%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 20161000202, Manhattan area on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).