What is the home price forecast for Parcel 20161000602 in Ogden area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $384,387 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 20161000602 in Ogden area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $384,387 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.2%.

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Parcel 20161000602 (Ogden area) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 20161000602, Ogden area Home Price Forecast

Riley, KS · ZIP 66503 · Census Tract 20161000602 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$384K

Downside (P10)

$323K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$404K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$526K

+37% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$297K	$295K	$343K	$380K	$384K	$384K	$388K	$398K	$404K	$400K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$87,587	-$89,087	-$41,487	-$4,487	-$287		+$4,090	+$13,117	+$20,095	+$15,815
Growth % vs 2026	-22.8%	-23.2%	-10.8%	-1.2%	-0.1%		+1.1%	+3.4%	+5.2%	+4.1%
Downside (P10)							$349K	$331K	$323K	$347K
Upside (P90)							$466K	$492K	$526K	$453K

Forecast Confidence

85%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$349K to $466K

30.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$347K to $453K

26.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.1% · Spread: 26%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 20161000602, Ogden area on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).