What is the home price forecast for Parcel 20161001102 in Manhattan?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $263,226 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 20161001102 in Manhattan?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $263,226 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.6%.

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Parcel 20161001102 (Manhattan) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 20161001102, Manhattan Home Price Forecast

Riley, KS · ZIP 66502 · Census Tract 20161001102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$263K

Downside (P10)

$207K

-21% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$273K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$360K

+37% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$229K	$223K	$236K	$247K	$257K	$263K	$266K	$269K	$273K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$33,826	-$40,126	-$27,126	-$15,926	-$6,526		+$2,863	+$5,646	+$9,465
Growth % vs 2026	-12.9%	-15.2%	-10.3%	-6.1%	-2.5%		+1.1%	+2.1%	+3.6%
Downside (P10)							$226K	$220K	$207K
Upside (P90)							$328K	$329K	$360K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$226K to $328K

38.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$207K to $360K

56.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.6% · Spread: 56%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 20161001102, Manhattan on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).