What is the home price forecast for Parcel 20177002402 in Topeka · 66604 · (Tract 24.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $265,310 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 20177002402 in Topeka · 66604 · (Tract 24.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $265,310 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.8%.

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Parcel 20177002402 (Topeka) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 20177002402, Topeka · 66604 · (Tract 24.2) Home Price Forecast

Shawnee, KS · ZIP 66604 · Census Tract 20177002402 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$265K

Downside (P10)

$233K

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$294K

+11% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$402K

+52% by 2030

Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$199K	$165K	$205K	$234K	$252K	$265K	$268K	$282K	$294K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$66,210	-$100,110	-$60,610	-$31,110	-$12,910		+$2,221	+$16,636	+$28,535
Growth % vs 2026	-25.0%	-37.7%	-22.8%	-11.7%	-4.9%		+0.8%	+6.3%	+10.8%
Downside (P10)							$227K	$229K	$233K
Upside (P90)							$332K	$374K	$402K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$227K to $332K

39.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$233K to $402K

57.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.8% · Spread: 57%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 20177002402, Topeka · 66604 · (Tract 24.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).