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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Stafford, KS · Census Tract 20185000468 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.31M
Downside (P10)
$506K
-61% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.00M
-24% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.57M
+20% by 2030
Base case: -24% by 2030, with a forecast range from -61% to +20%. The model forecasts this with 41% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.0M | $1.0M |
| YoY Change | +2.9% | -12.0% | -12.3% | -3.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $874K | $684K | $570K | $506K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.7M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.6M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$874K to $1.70M
61.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$506K to $1.57M
106.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000468 | $1.31M | $1.00M | -23.6% | |
| Stafford (Tract 000785) | $1.36M | $1.10M | -19.6% | |
| Stafford (Tract 002068) | $1.41M | $1.13M | -19.7% | |
| Stafford (Tract 000028) | $1.21M | $947K | -21.6% | |
| Stafford (Tract 002084) | $1.17M | $911K | -21.9% | |
| Stafford (Tract 000947) | $1.38M | $1.01M | -26.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000468 | $1.31M | $1.00M | -23.6% | |
| Stafford (Tract 000264) | $772K | $759K | -1.7% | |
| Stafford (Tract 001360) | $959K | $860K | -10.3% | |
| Stafford (Tract 001027) | $873K | $782K | -10.4% | |
| Stafford (Tract 000280) | $820K | $720K | -12.2% | |
| Stafford (Tract 002042) | $1.01M | $869K | -13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000468 | $1.31M | $1.00M | $1.07M | |
| Stafford (Tract 002042) | $1.01M | $869K | $870K | |
| Stafford (Tract 000280) | $820K | $720K | $856K | |
| Stafford (Tract 000183) | $974K | $798K | $856K | |
| Stafford (Tract 000565) | $886K | $741K | $821K | |
| Stafford (Tract 001548) | $924K | $725K | $800K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources