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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Stafford, KS · Census Tract 20185002068 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.41M
Downside (P10)
$686K
-51% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.13M
-20% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.67M
+19% by 2030
Base case: -20% by 2030, with a forecast range from -51% to +19%. The model forecasts this with 52% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | -1.1% | -10.1% | -7.0% | -2.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $968K | $788K | $694K | $686K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.8M | $1.7M | $1.6M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$968K to $1.76M
56.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$686K to $1.67M
87.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stafford · (Tract 20.68) | $1.41M | $1.13M | -19.7% | |
| Tract 850120 | $1.42M | $1.37M | -3.5% | |
| Tract 200001 | $1.40M | $1.22M | -13.2% | |
| Tract 006023 | $1.43M | $1.11M | -22.8% | |
| Stafford | $1.38M | $1.01M | -26.6% | |
| Tract 000883 | $1.37M | $868K | -36.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stafford · (Tract 20.68) | $1.41M | $1.13M | -19.7% | |
| Tract 722002 | $108K | $175K | +61.7% | |
| Tract 840001 | $126K | $202K | +60.0% | |
| Tract 280007 | $287K | $453K | +57.8% | |
| Tract 731307 | $168K | $264K | +56.4% | |
| Tract 501105 | $223K | $334K | +49.9% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources