County 21810, KY · Census Tract 21810641023 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$277K
Downside (P10)
$272K
-2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$393K
+42% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$540K
+95% by 2030
Base case: +42% by 2030, with a forecast range from -2% to +95%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 21810 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $277K | $321K | $341K | $358K | $393K |
| YoY Change | +15.9% | +6.1% | +5.1% | +9.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $252K | $251K | $262K | $272K | |
| Upside (P90) | $414K | $455K | $493K | $540K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$246K to $334K
31.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$272K to $540K
68.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640228 | $277K | $377K | +35.8% |
| Tract 080008 | $277K | $378K | +36.4% |
| Tract 640862 | $277K | $400K | +44.7% |
| Tract 642022 | $277K | $400K | +44.5% |
| Tract 643005 | $276K | $366K | +32.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 642608 | $266K | $387K | +45.5% |
| Tract 640163 | $274K | $398K | +45.3% |
| Tract 643047 | $267K | $388K | +45.1% |
| Tract 640862 | $277K | $400K | +44.7% |
| Tract 642022 | $277K | $400K | +44.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 641049 | $279K | $373K | $243K |
| Tract 641285 | $274K | $370K | $246K |
| Tract 642064 | $268K | $363K | $249K |
| Tract 641007 | $265K | $341K | $250K |
| Tract 642640 | $268K | $357K | $257K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources