County 21963, KY · Census Tract 21963001044 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$533K
Downside (P10)
$470K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$765K
+44% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.26M
+136% by 2030
Base case: +44% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +136%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 21963 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $533K | $617K | $639K | $682K | $765K |
| YoY Change | +15.8% | +3.5% | +6.8% | +12.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $466K | $435K | $446K | $470K | |
| Upside (P90) | $859K | $973K | $1.1M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$458K to $667K
39.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$470K to $1.26M
103.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001947 | $534K | $719K | +34.7% |
| Tract 001620 | $534K | $745K | +39.5% |
| Tract 001701 | $529K | $704K | +33.1% |
| Tract 001329 | $528K | $713K | +35.0% |
| Tract 001264 | $538K | $687K | +27.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000362 | $563K | $837K | +48.8% |
| Tract 001060 | $518K | $771K | +48.8% |
| Tract 000427 | $564K | $839K | +48.6% |
| Tract 002221 | $549K | $810K | +47.5% |
| Tract 000540 | $522K | $767K | +46.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000540 | $522K | $767K | $559K |
| Tract 001248 | $527K | $703K | $562K |
| Tract 000582 | $489K | $691K | $614K |
| Tract 001329 | $528K | $713K | $620K |
| Tract 000207 | $556K | $745K | $624K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources